Premier League 2013-14 Preview – How this season starts for last season’s Top 7

 

Premier League 2013-14 Preview – How this season starts for last season’s Top 7

The 2013/14 Premier League season kicks off on Saturday August 17th and is without doubt already building up to be one of the most greatly anticipated, potentially exciting and entertaining Premier League seasons ever and we as a team at http://www.bettingpreview.co.uk/ will certainly do whatever we can do to cover it all and certainly look to provide plenty of interesting, informative and hopefully rewarding betting advice along the way.

Now given the massive upheaval that has gone on within the Premier League clubs this summer in terms of managerial change and with the fact the transfer window does not shut until August 31st then it’s simply way too early to give a detailed, fully informed & conclusive ante-post preview for the entire season ahead but what we can do is look at what we do already know for definite about the clubs and what they achieved last year to give our views.

Last season in the Premier League there was most definitely a clear and defined ‘Top 7′ as the 8th placed team West Brom finished 12 points adrift of Liverpool in 7th, both what we witnessed from all the sides last year and recent Premier League history tells us that those top 7 teams ie Manchester United, Manchester City, Chelsea, Arsenal, Tottenham, Everton and Liverpool will almost certainly be the Top 7 again this coming season and they will be the teams that fight it out for the league title, Champions League and Europa League places.

We know that every single one of the 38 Premier League matches that each team are due to play matters as much as any other in terms of achievable points but how teams start the season does often prove to be vital in terms of confirming what each team looks likely to achieve in that season and does give a very strong indication of whether teams can be regarded as serious title contenders or not, whether teams are realistic top 4 challengers or whether a top 6 place might be their limit.

So in this piece we’ve had a look at the first 10 Premier League matches that last seasons Top 7 teams face this season, how they did in the corresponding fixtures last season, how they did in their first 10 Premier League matches of last season and then given our views on what that could mean for each team in terms of the way the season starts for them and hopefully that will help to highlight plenty of interesting potential bets and betting strategies worth consideration.

 Arsenal Preview:-

Arsenal’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Aston Villa (Home) (Won 2-1)
Fulham (Away) (Won 1-0)
Tottenham (Home) (Won 5-2)
Sunderland (Away) (Won 1-0)
Stoke City (Home) (Won 1-0)
Swansea (Away) (Won 2-0)
West Brom (Away) (Won 2-1)
Norwich City (Home) (Won 3-1)
Crystal Palace (Away) n/a
Liverpool (Home) (Drew 2-2)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 25 pts (from 9 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last season’s first 10 Premier League matches = 15 pts

Arsenal Verdict:- This is an absolutely massive, vital season for everybody at Arsenal and Arsene Wenger will be looking for Arsenal to start this season much better than they did last season as after 10 league games last year they had only achieved 15 points and were 7 points behind Man City, 8 points behind Chelsea and 9 points behind Manchester United.

Arsenal cannot afford to experience such a sluggish start to this season and a fast, positive start to the season is what Arsenal are looking for and on that note then Arsene Wenger can look to the fact they finished last season in very strong, confident form, on the face of it they look to have a pretty favourable set of opening matches for this season and certainly will be confident they can start very well having achieved 25 points from the corresponding fixtures last season.

Given the fixture list Arsenal have then pundits, Arsenal fans and indeed bookmakers will expect Arsenal to have a strong start to the season and while nothing is guaranteed in terms of results I would have to agree that I expect Arsenal to be right up there after the opening 10 league matches and so now has to be the time for any potential Arsenal title bid backers because if they do start well then their odds will collapse, knowing that there is always the opportunity to lay them at a later date and still guarantee yourself a profit.
Arsenal’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 20 – 23 pts
The odds that matter:- Outright Title odds = 10/1, Top 4 = 4/7
Without Man United, Man City & Chelsea odds = 8/13

 

 

Chelsea Preview:-

Chelsea’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Hull City (Home) n/a
Manchester United (Away) (Won 1-0)
Aston Villa (Home) (Won 8-0)
Everton (Away) (Won 2-10
Fulham (Home) (Drew 0-0)
Tottenham (Away) (Won 4-2)
Norwich City (Away) (Won 1-0)
Cardiff City (Home) n/a
Manchester City (Home) (Drew 0-0)
Newcastle United (Away) (Lost 3-2)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 17 pts (from 8 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last season’s first 10 Premier League matches = 23 pts

Chelsea Verdict:- The return of Chelsea’s God, hero & messiah Jose Mourinho has got the media absolutely falling over themselves with excitement and so are the vast majority of tipsters and pundits who believe Chelsea are now certain to win the Premier League so it’s going to be absolutely fascinating to see how Chelsea start the season with Mourinho back in charge and see if all the hype is justified.

Chelsea got off to a storming start last season with 7 wins and 2 draws from their opening 10 league matches and most pundits expect Chelsea to do the same again this season but I don’t see it being that simple as although they’ve got straightforward looking home games against Hull, Fulham, Cardiff and Aston Villa, Chelsea also have to face away trips to Manchester United, Everton, Tottenham and Newcastle along with a home tie against Manchester City and it will be remarkable if they don’t drop several points during those set of fixtures.

Chelsea have incredible quality, experience and strength of depth to their squad, the return of Mourinho has given them a huge initial lift and they are of course more than capable of winning their matches meaning that if they do get off to an absolute flying start then the euphoria surrounding Chelsea will go sky high and their odds to win the league title will shorten dramatically.

So if you are thinking of backing Chelsea for the Premier League or indeed any competition then I’d back them now but I believe it makes more sense to wait and see how they do actually go in those big, key games against Manchester United, Manchester City, Tottenham and Everton before recommending any big move for Chelsea to win the title at this stage as the return of Mourinho only guarantees euphoria and doesn’t guarantee anything in terms of results.
Chelsea’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 18 – 21 pts
The odds that matter:- Outright Title odds = 9/4, without Man United & Man City = 2/7,
Unbeaten League season = 100/1

 

 

 Everton Preview:-

Everton’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Norwich City (Away) (Lost 2-1)
West Brom (home) (Won 2-1)
Cardiff City (Away) n/a
Chelsea (Home) (Lost 2-1)
West Ham (Away) (Won 2-1)
Newcastle United (Home)  (Drew 2-2)
Manchester City (Away) (Drew 1-1)
Hull City (Home) n/a
Aston Villa (Away) (Won 3-1)
Tottenham (Home) (Drew 2-2)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 12 pts (from 8 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last seasons first 10 Premier League matches = 17 pts

Everton Verdict:- It’s all change at Everton this season with Roberto Martinez replacing David Moyes as manager and I think it’s vital for Martinez that Everton get off to a good, solid start so that the Everton fans get behind him and stay there.

Roberto Martinez will certainly be more than happy if Everton can replicate the start they had last season which saw them earn 17 points from their first 10 league matches with only 1 defeat amongst those opening matches, and they’ll be especially happy to get through the first 10 games with only 1 defeat this time around considering they’ve got to play the likes of Manchester City, Chelsea and Tottenham early on.

Everton’s opening 10 Premier League fixtures looks to be very much of a mixed bunch as they’ll be expected to win half of them but also be expected to find it tough in the rest so again I recommend giving it time to assess how Martinez settles in at Everton and how the Everton players respond to him, given the quality they’ve got in the squad it should all come good in time but Everton’s first part of the season may well reflect the same roller coaster characteristics that Wigan did under Martinez.
Everton’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 16 – 19 pts
The odds that matter:- Top 4 odds = 20/1, Top 6 odds = 7/2

 

 

Liverpool Preview:-

Liverpool’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Stoke City (Home) (Drew 0-0)
Aston Villa (Away) (Won 2-1)
Manchester United (Home) (Lost 2-1)
Swansea (Away) (Drew 0-0)
Southampton (Home) (Won 1-0)
Sunderland (Away) (Drew 1-1)
Crystal Palace (Home) n/a
Newcastle United (Away) (Won 6-0)
West Brom (Home) (Lost 2-0)
Arsenal (Away) (Drew 2-2)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 13 pts (from 9 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last seasons first 10 Premier League matches = 11 pts

Liverpool Verdict:- Brendan Rodgers and the Liverpool players come into this new season with the pressure on to start delivering the success that the Liverpool fans crave and indeed that the clubs magnificent, trophy laden history deserves so it’s going to be truly fascinating watching how Rodgers & Liverpool handle that this season.

What Brendan Rodgers will most definitely be looking to do is start this season better than he did with Liverpool last year as the opening 10 league matches were largely a disaster with only 2 wins and only 11 points achieved, indeed if Liverpool don’t do any better than that this time around there is no doubt there will be an intense focus on Brendan Rodgers and the pressure on his position as manager will be difficult to handle.

The good news for Brendan Rodgers and Liverpool is that there does seem to be a renewed positivity about the club as a whole with new signings freshening up and adding depth to the squad and they can also call upon the confidence they gained from finishing last season in good, winning style and their opening fixtures gives them real scope to get off to a good start.

Ultimately it will just depend on how the new players settle in and how the club copes with abscence of key player Luis Suarez either through his suspension or potential sale, on balance I think it might well end up being a mixed start for Liverpool with highs and lows but overall better than last years start.
Liverpool’s Predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 15 – 18
The odds that matter:- Top 4 odds = 2/1, Top 6 odds = 1/4

 

 

Manchester City Preview:-

Mancheser City’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Newcastle United (Home) (Won 4-0)
Cardiff City (Away) n/a
Hull City (Home) n/a
Stoke City (Away) (Drew 1-1)
Manchester United (Home) (Lost 3-2)
Aston Villa (Away) (Won 1-0)
Everton (Home) (Drew 1-1)
West Ham (Away) (Drew 0-0)
Chelsea (Away) (Drew 0-0)
Norwich City (Home) (Lost 3-2)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 10 pts (from 8 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last seasons first 10 Premier League matches = 22 pts
 
Manchester City Verdict:- It’s new manager time at the Etihaad Stadium this season with Manuel Pellegrini the new man tasked with managing Manchester City’s incredibly strong, hugely talented squad into a title winning side again and how he goes about taking on and improving on what Roberto Mancini achieved will be fascinating to watch.

Pellegrini comes into the position with vast, proven experience at the top level in Spain with excellent jobs done at both Villareal and Malaga but he’s done both jobs when expectations have been very low so how he handles coming into a totally different league with truly massive expectations of achieving instant success and how he manages a bigger, more talented but also bigger ego based squad will be the key.

In terms of Manchester City’s start to this season Premier League campaign then their opening 10 league games look largely winnable and they will be strong favourites to win most of them although matches against Manchester United, Chelsea and Everton will present a real test for them, they achieved 22 points from their opening 10 games last year and that looks an entirely realistic and likely target for this season.

With regards to backing Manchester City for the Premier League title then they are clearly one of the major contenders and will be in the top 3 at least again this season, a flying start for them will see their odds reduce but the uncertainty of how Pellegrini will adapt to the Premier League is enough to put me off recommending backing them right now and I think it makes sense to play the waiting game, watch how they go for the first couple of months and then make a decision.
Manchester City’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 20 – 23 pts
The odds that matter:- Title odds = 9/4, Top 4 = 1/14, Unbeaten League season = 100/1

 

 

Manchester United Preview:-

Manchester United’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Swansea (Away) (Drew 1-1)
Chelsea (Home) (Lost 1-0)
Liverpool (Away) (Won 2-1)
Crystal Palace (Home) n/a
Manchester City (Away) (Won 3-2)
West Brom (Home) (Won 2-0)
Sunderland (Away) (Won 1-0)
Southampton (Home) (Won 2-1)
Stoke City (Home) (Won 4-2)
Fulham (Away) (Won 1-0)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 22 pts (from 9 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last seasons first 10 Premier League matches = 24 pts

Manchester United Verdict:- In what’s been a summer of musical managerial chairs in the Premier League, David Moyes has earned the right to leave his seat at Everton and sit in the manager’s chair at reigning Premier League champions Manchester United with the footballing world waiting to see if he can handle the massive step up from Everton and continue the incredible work done by Sir Alex Ferguson.

Many people have already stated they expect Moyes to fail under the massive pressure an expectations that go with being Manchester United manager while others have stated they believe he will be well suited by the job, handle the pressure well and be successful in the long term, having been a huge David Moyes fan for several years I’d agree with the latter but the truth is nobody knows and on that basis the only genuine advice that can be offered is again to wait and see how it all works out at Manchester United in the early part of this season before making any difinitive judgements.

With regards to how Manchester United’s first 10 Premier League matches look then the fact they face trips to Manchester City and Liverpool along with hosting Chelsea within the first 5 matches clearly will be a big, early test for David Moyes but the other 7 matches look entirely winnable and Manchester United will be made very strong favourites to win them.

So while I don’t believe Manchester United will match last seasons fantastic start which saw them earn 24 points from their first 10 league matches, I do believe that they can start very well and go close to matching that points total with the results against Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea clearly going to be the key to that.
Manchester United’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 20 – 23 pts
The odds that matter:- Title odds = 9/4, Top 4 = 1/14, Unbeaten League season = 80/1

 

 

Tottenham Preview:-

Tottenham’s first 10 Premier League fixtures (also results from last seasons corresponding fixtures where applicable):

Crystal Palace (Away) n/a
Swansea City (Home) (Won 1-0)
Arsenal (Away) (Lost 5-2)
Norwich City (home) (Drew 1-1)
Cardiff City (Away) n/a
Chelsea (Home) (Lost 4-2)
West Ham United (Home) (Won 3-1)
Aston Villa (Away) (Won 4-0)
Hull City (Home) n/a
Everton (Away) (Lost 2-1)

Total Points gained from correspondening fixtures last season = 10 pts (from 7 applicable matches)
 
Total Points gained from last seasons first 10 Premier League matches = 17 pts

Tottenham Verdict:- Andre Villas-Boas can be very proud of the job he did at Tottenham in his first full season in charge and I feel Tottenham fans should be excited about what is to come this year as Villas-Boas has a years extra experience under his belt,  the squad will know Villas-Boas better and have a greater appreciation of his ideas, the squad will be stronger and have more depth to it.

With regards to Tottenham’s early season league fixtures then away trips to Arsenal and Everton along with hosting Chelsea at home look 3 tough challenges for Andre Villas-Boas’s men to face but their other opening fixtures look more straightforward and they will be expected to win most of them so I think there is real scope that they can better last seasons total of 17 points from their opening 10 league games.
Tottenham’s predicted points range after opening 10 League matches = 18 – 21
The odds that matter:- Top 4 odds = 2/1, Top 6 odds = 2/9

 

As always they are purely my own views & hope you find them interesting, useful & ultimately successful if you bet but remember that whatever you decide to bet on, please take the time & effort to shop around ensuring you get the best value, check all the latest relevant information and good luck.

*odds quoted from Bet 365 as of 15/7/13

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