25 Apr
Champions League Semi Final 2nd Leg Previews
Barcelona, Inter Milan, Lyon & Bayern Munich are all now potentially just 90 minutes away from their dream final & all four teams still have absolutely everything to play for.
Inter Milan got the better of Barcelona & Bayern Munich edged past Lyon in the first leg matches but both ties are still firmly in the balance & anything is still possible which does make it all so exciting & dramatic.
We have had a good look at the Semi Final 2nd leg matches & here are our views on how the games may well go & the value betting recommendations which we feel are worth consideration:
Lyon vs Bayern Munich – (Tuesday 7.45pm)
A tight, competitive & indeed at times bad tempered match was the outcome between Bayern Munich & Lyon in the first leg & this 2nd leg match looks certain to be similar givens the pressures on both teams & the prize at stake.
Bayern Munich deservedly earned a 1-0 advantage from the 1st leg & that is indeed a massive advantage with Lyon knowing that they have to win this game to have any chance & even then they are not forced to qualify so the majority of the pressure is on Lyon.
Lyon have to at least match the 1-0 scoreline just to take the tie into Extra Time & they know that an away goal for Bayern Munich will mean they have to score 3 goals to go through so this really is a tough quandry for Lyon to solve.
To win the match Lyon must be positive & attack and they certainly have the quality to do that but to stop Bayern Munich scoring they must also balance their attacking play with solid, organised defending and that is going to be a very tough task against a strong Bayern Munich side.
As we said, Bayern Munich’s target in this match will be to score 1 goal because that in all probability will be enough & they have already proven by scoring away at Fiorentina & Manchester United that they have the necessary quality to do that.
This tie is finely balanced but the absolute key to it all is based upon whether Bayern Munich score & we feel there is every reason to believe they will and that clearly sways the tie in Bayern Munich’s favour but still makes this an hard game to call on the night.
Lyon will be positive & give their best in this match but we can also envisage Bayern Munich scoring as well & so in our view a competitive, scoring draw looks a value bet worth taking & Bayern Munich can get the job done again.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Results: DRAW
Correct Score Options: 1-1/2-2
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Lopez/Robben/Olic
Scorecast options: Lopez/Robben/Olic score 1st & 1-1/2-2
Double Result: DRAW H/T & F/T
Barcelona vs Inter Milan – (Wednesday 7.45pm)
Inter Milan deservedly won the 1st leg 3-1, having too much strength, organisation & indeed quality for Barcelona on the night but some reason many people seem intent on ignoring the evidence & have Barcelona in the final already despite the fact they are 2 goals behind.
Bookmakers & experts still have Barcelona as favourites to progress into the final and in our view that is simply wrong & totally disrespectful to the great work Jose Mourinho & his team did in the first leg & the undoubted quality they have within their side.
Of course, Barcelona are an incredibly talented side with Lionel Messi a true genius capable of destroying anybody & Barcelona at the Nou Camp provides a formidable test for any side but as Inter proved in the 1st leg, they are human & they are certainly beatable and particularly when under pressure.
All the pressure going into this tie is on Barcelona because they are fully expected to win the game & then retain the European Champions League & it seems like the whole world expects Barcelona to win this game but we don’t see it that way.
Barcelona have fantastic quality within their side & if you let them play free & to how they want to just as Arsenal did, then you will get destroyed just like Arsenal did but Inter Milan showed in the 1st leg that they know how to play against Barcelona & control their best players.
Jose Mourinho is a tactical genius & the way he organised Inter Milan in the 1st leg to instil their own influence on the game & also control Barcelona was fantastic & he will see this as the perfect test of his abilities so he will certainly want to get this right as well.
More importantly, Inter Milan have great experience & quality within their side & they will not fear going to Barcelona and will have gained massive confidence from the 1st leg victory so will believe they have the ability to get a positive result in this one & will even believe they can win it at their best.
The basic demands of the game are that Barcelona have to win 2-0 or by 3 clear goals which is entirely possible when they are at their fluent best but the big key question is whether Inter Milan will let them be at their best in this match & the evidence from the 1st leg suggests they won’t & Inter Milan are more than capable of doing what they have to do to get through.
This match is incredibly tight to call & Barcelona are deserving favourites to win the match given their strength at home but the odds on Inter Milan winning or drawing this match are outrageously large & we have a sense that this is the perfect occasion & world stage for Jose Mourinho to prove himself & his Inter Milan players can once again prove their quality & strength by getting the result they need.
The odds on a win for Inter Milan or a draw are incredibly tempting so we certainly believe it could pay to cover both options but the most probable option of the two is a draw & that looks a value bet worth taking as Inter Milan can once again deny Barcelona & earn themselves & Jose Mourinho another chance at Champions League glory.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Results: DRAW
Correct Score Options: 1-1/2-2
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: E’too/Sneijder/Milito
Scorecast options: E’too/Sneijder/Milito score 1st & 1-1/2-2
Double Result: Inter Milan H/T & DRAW F/T
Double Chance bet: DRAW or Inter Milan

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