4 Dec
Champions League Group Stage Match Day 6 Previews
Champions League Group Stage Match Day 6
With the first five group stage games out of the way the Champions League Group stage has now reached the final, crucial stage for many teams & although somes teams already know their fate & they know they cannot progress, there are still a lot of teams with a lot to play for & that should translate into a series of seriously competitve, hopefully entertaining matches for us to enjoy.
I have had a good look at the fixtures & here are my brief thoughts on the games & my recommendations on them for your consideration:
Tuesday Night Champions League Fixtures:
Chelsea vs Valencia:- No doubting how huge a match this is to both Chelsea & Valencia as they both can still win the Group but might even fail to qualify so there’s huge pressure on this match & everything to play for.
That should see both teams going for the win but it could be tight & the first goal will be massive, whichever side scores first then the other side will come instantly under massive pressure & so the two teams face a tactical dilemma here, do they go for the win or do they keep it tight & solid.
I’m expecting Chelsea to be really positive because they are at home & do have extra overall quality compared to Valencia and to be honest Chelsea’s defence is not good enough for them to believe they can concentrate on defending & keeping it tight.
For Valencia then they know they that a 1-1 draw will be good enough as they have a superior goal difference to Chelsea so it’s a slightly differently test for them but then again if they go out to defend they may well get punished so it’s a tough call to know what to do here.
This should be a good, competitive match & the pressure of the occasion could lead to a few mistakes which Chelsea really don’t need right now so they will have to be careful but their win against Chelsea should have given them a huge confidence boost & I’m taking Chelsea to edge through & get the win they need here.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: CHELSEA to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Drogba/Mata/Lampard
Genk vs Bayer Leverkusen:- Apart from playing for their pride at home Genk have absolutely nothing else to play for as they will finish bottom of the group whatever happens here & so this match should be all about what Bayer Leverkusen do & how they play.
Bayer Leverkusen currently top the group & they know that a draw would be good enough to secure qualification but having beaten Chelsea at home last time out I’m expecting them to believe they can go to Genk & win to secure winning the Group.
Genk have conceded 15 goals & only scored 1 so far in the group stage & although they held Chelsea 1-1 at home, it’s very difficult to have any faith in them getting anything here based on their pathetic display in losing 7-0 to Valencia & I’m taking Michael Ballack to inspire Bayern Leverkusen to another win here.~
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: BAYER LEVERKUSEN to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Ballack/Deirdyok/Freidrich
Borussia Dortmund vs Marseille:- Another match here were it only means something to one side & it is Marseille who find themselves in a position where they know they have to win to qualify through with Arsenal.
Arsenal have won the group already & are certain to play a weakened side against Olympiakos away making it a strong possibility that Olympiakos will get the win they have to secure & that means Marseille have to win this, it’s just a case of whether they can actually do it on the night under the pressure.
Marseille have not been massively impressive in the Champions League this year but they have at least shown more quality & consistency that Dortmund who have disappointed greatly so this might well be an easier match for Marseille than it would have been if Dortmund could still do anything in the group.
Dortmund do get tremendous support at home & there should be a good atmosphere as the fans will demand they finish the group stage on a high at home so that will make things tougher for Marseille but as long as they defend properly they do have the players to cause Dortmund damage & Marseille look worth a punt to get the win the need although it won’t be easy.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Marseille to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Ayew/Valbuene/Gonzalez
Olympiakos vs Arsenal:- Olympiakos have home advantage, they need the win & they will be playing a much weakened Arsenal side so they will not have a better chance to beat Arsenal & I think they will.
Of course football is never that easy & Olympiakos still have to prove they can handle the pressure & actually beat Arsenal here but they’ve been solid enough so far & they showed by gaining a massive wins against Dortmund & Marseille that they can definitely do it.
I think the absolute key is the fact Arsenal are highly likely to play a weakened, less experienced side with them already having won the Group & I’m backing Olympiakos to be inspired by their fantastic, noisy home fans & get the huge win they need on the night but whether that will be good enough will depend on what Marseille do.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Olympiakos to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Fetfazidis/Holbas/Modesto
Apoel Nicosia vs Shaktar Donetsk:- This should be all about Apoel Nicosia here & I’m taking them to finish what has been an amazing group stage for them so far by getting another win & winning Group G to pull off the shock of the Champions League so far.
Apoel Nicosia were largely expected to finish bottom of Group G so the fact they come into this match top & unbeaten after 5 games with 2 wins & 3 draws just shows the incredible progress they’ve made & no doubting they totally deserve this fantastic opportunity.
There is no escaping from how poor Shaktar Donetsk have been in the Champions League this season & while they have the individual quality to be dangerous on the night, they have no motivation to win this game & have not shown the form required to do that so this should be a home win for Apoel & they certainly look worth backing to do that.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Apoel Nicosia to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Almeida/Mandua/Trickovski
FC Porto vs Zenit St. Petersburg:- This is an absolutely massive game for both FC Porto & Zenit St Petersburg as only one of them can now qualify through with Apoel so I’m expecting a really good game here.
FC Porto have been disappointing so far in the Group stage but they know they have to win this & they should come into the game with huge belief & confidence with this being at home & having won so well in Shaktar last time out.
Zenit St Petersburg have been quite impressive in a few of their Champions League games so far but their failure to beat Apoel at home last time out is the reason they face this high pressure final match & that might just prove too much of a test for them.
There is no doubting Zenit have the quality to cause Porto problems & given how mixed Porto have been it wouldn’t be the hugest shock for Zenit to get the draw they need but this is set up for Hulk to show his top quality for Porto & they look worth a bet to get the job done.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: FC PORTO to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Hulk/Rodriguez
Barcelona vs BATE Borisov:- Quite simply this is purely about how serious Barcelona take it & how many goals they want to score, whichever Barcelona team starts they will win the match & win it comfortably.
Barcelona have secured winning the group after their fantastic 3-2 win at AC Milan so this game means absolutely nothing to them, indeed it actually means far more to BATE who can still qualify for the Europa spot by finishing 3rd in the group but BATE will not win this match, no way.
So the only question punters have here is how many will Barcelona score, I think 3 is a good starting point but if they really take it seriously they could well get 4, 5, 6 or more, but in the likelyhood that they will rest most of their big stars then I’ll go with the lower end of that scale this time around.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: BARCELONA to win 3-0/4-0
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Pedro/Sanchez/Fabregas
Viktoria Plzen vs AC Milan:- This is a totally meaningless game & there is absolutely nothing apart from professional pride to play for here for either Plzen or AC Milan so hopefully that should make this an open, entertaining game with goals.
AC Milan have already secured 2nd spot & Plzen have realistically already qualified for the Europa League, unless BATE pull off the biggest shock of all time & win Barcelona, that won’t happen though so Plzen can just relax here & play their game & not worry about the result at the end.
The one danger for punters here is that this could be a game where neither side tries that hard & that does make any result possible but AC Milan have a clear edge in terms of player quality & I think they are worth backing to finish the group in style & worth supporting to get an away win here.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: AC MILAN to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Robinho/Ibrahimovic/Boateng
Manchester City vs Bayern Munich:- This is a truly massive, high pressure match for Manchester City but they come into it facing the horrible of situation of knowing that even a fantastic home win against Bayern Munich may not be enough depending on what Napoli do at Villareal.
The simple maths to this Group are that Bayern Munich have already secured qualification by winning the group & that leaves Man City & Napoli fighting over 2nd place, Napoli currently hold that & a win against Villareal will secure it for them no matter what Man City do.
So the only outcome that offers Man City any hope here is a win & that’s the only approach they can have but saying it is easy & actually doing it has already been proven to be far tougher for Man City in the Champions League so far & the pressure is on them again here.
Manchester City have the proven quality to win this match so the questions that remain to be answered are do they have the mental strength to handle the pressure & get the win & also how seriously will Bayern Munich take this game with the group already won.
On the first point then I do believe Man City have players with the mental strength required to handle the pressure & produce what is needed on the night but as they showed by drawing at home with Napoli that no matter how well they do, the Champions League is always tough & they will have to be at the top of their game to win this.
On the second point then I do expect Bayern Munich to come to Manchester City & take the game very seriously because it’s a clear chance to knock out a very dangerous team & Bayern Munich certainly have the quality to come to this game & get the result, they deservedly & comfortably beat Man City first time around & will have no fear about playing them again.
I’m expecting Manchester City to be confident & fully up for this & I’m also expecting Bayern Munich to give it a really good go it’s certainly a dangerous game to call because I could see Bayern getting a result here but I think Manchester City will just have enough to get their job done & win on the night & then hope Napoli fail in Villareal as that is all they can do.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Manchester City to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Aguero/Silva/Balotelli
Villareal vs Napoli:- Villareal have been pathetic so far in the Champions League, they have no interest whatsoever in this game & have no motivation to win while Napoli know they might have to win to qualify so surely this match will revolve entirely around what Napoli do.
Villareal have 5 defeats from 5 & have conceded 12 goals with only 2 scored so it just doesn’t seem possible to believe they will finish the Group stage with anything other than another defeat & Napoli will surely have too much quality for them again here.
Napoli have been very impressive in the Champions League with the likes of Cavani, Lavezzi, Hamsik all producing great quality & great goals and they will certainly believe & expect to get goals again against what has been a very poor Villareal defence & they have to be backed to win this which of course would be desperate for Man City.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: NAPOLI to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Cavani/Hamsik/Lavezzi
Wednesday Night Champions League Fixtures:
Inter Milan vs CSKA Moscow:- Inter Milan have already won Group A & only have professional pride to play for while CSKA Moscow have to win to keep their dreams of qualification alive all of which makes this a complex game to work out.
Inter Milan have not been overly impressive so far in the Champions League & they have struggled domestically but they’ve done what is required in the Champions League & will certainly want to finish on a high in front of their own fans.
For CSKA Moscow they know they have to win & then hope that Trabzonspor don’t beat Lille so it’s a very tall order but the fact it is possible should at least the CSKA Moscow players to have a real go in this game.
The game should be open & there could be a few goals making any result truly possible but while Inter Milan don’t have to win, I would expect them to attempt to finish with a win & I still think they are worth backing to make their extra quality & take the win here.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: INTER MILAN to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Pazzini/Milito/Sneijder
Lille vs Trabzonspor:- This should be a really competitive game because Lille have to go for the win while Trabzonspor know they will have to play well to get at least the 1 point they need so it may well come down to which side handles the pressure the best.
Lille kept their hopes alive by getting an excellent away win last time out & that win will have given them a huge boost but they will know that a Trabzonspor side that have only been beaten once so far will be tough to beat & Lille will have to show concentration & quality to get the job done.
For Trabzonspor they know that a draw will be enough to seal qualification & they’ve proven by winning in Inter Milan as well as drawing 3 other group matches that they can handle pressure & do a job if required but this will be a tough test & they will have to be at their organised best to get the result they need.
No doubting this is a fascinating match to call with both Lille & Trabzonspor having their own motivations to get the result they need, it’s probably going to be seriously competitie & pretty close on the night but I’m taking Lille to show their extra flair & get the vital win they need to go through.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: LILLE to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Sow/Pedretti/De Melo
Basle vs Manchester United:- Another huge game in prospect here with both Basel & Manchester United desperate to join Benfica in qualifying through the group & it all looks set to be a high intensity, high pressure match on the night.
Basle & Manchester United can theoretically still both win the group by winning here & if Benfica fail at home to Otelul but that is highly unlikely to happen & so Basel & Manchester United are left knowing that only one of them will go through to the next round.
Basel have to win while Manchester United have to avoid defeat so it’s a definitely a game that hangs in the balance & as the 3-3 draw that these two teams shared earlier in the group, anything is possible here & it’s hard to rule out any of the potential results here.
However, I do find it hard to believe that Manchester United will fail to qualify as I think they have more than enough attacking quality to punish the defensive mistakes that Basle have made in every game so far & so the question comes down to will Manchester United win this or take the point they need.
Of course Manchester United never set up to go for a draw, it’s simply not in their nature so I’m expecting a controlled, organised performance from United but one with winning the game in mind & on balance I think they are worth supporting to edge the match & qualify through and that will do.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: MANCHESTER UNITED to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Rooney/Nani/Young
Benfica vs Otelul Galati:- Quite simply Benfica will win this match & win the group, the only question for punters is how many will Benfica score to get that win.
Benfica have been very impressive so far to sit top after 5 games & victory here will give them overall victory in the group which is an achievement they can be very proud of & indeed totally deserve.
Otelul Galati have been found to be completely out of their league in the Champions League with 5 straight defeats & 10 goals conceded proof of that although they have showed endeavour & commitment in those defeats.
Unless Benfica really do take this game too easy then I can’t see any other result than a comfortable home win here & I’m taking Benfica to finish the group in style with a few goals & let their fans celebrate winning the group.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: BENFICA to win 3-0/3-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Cardozo/Nolito/Caesar
Ajax vs Real Madrid:- Both of these famous european giants have already qualified through with Ajax coming 2nd to a high quality & rampant Real Madrid side so hopefully both teams will just relax here & look to play great, positive football to entertain us all.
Admittedly any result has to be considered here because there is a big chance that both sides will ease off on how seriously they take this game & particularly with Real Madrid who have a truly massive match against Barcelona coming up after this.
Of course Jose Mourinho will want whoever he picks for Real to be entirely professional & try to maintain their 100% record of winning every group stage game so Real Madrid command great respect & Ajax will still have to be at their very best to stop Madrid winning this.
I’m expecting Ajax to have a real go in front of their own fans & I think they have enough attacking quality to cause problems for what will most probably be a weakened Madrid side but I still think Real Madrid will be too strong & I’m taking Mourinho’s men to make it 6 wins from 6 here.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: REAL MADRID to win 2-1/3-1
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Higuain/Callejon/Ozil
Dinamo Zagreb vs Lyon:- Dinamo Zagreb & Lyon clash here in one of the few Champions League games that means absolutely nothing to either side involved & based on that alone it makes it a tough game to call with confidence.
In terms of performance so far in the Champions League group stage then Lyon can at least claim to have won one & drawn two of their games compared to Dinamo’s pathetic record of 5 straight defeats so if there to be a winner here then it should be Lyon but I wouldn’t want to be putting too much faith in Lyon right now.
In all honesty this is a match that neither side probably wants, nobody else involved in the competition will be interested in it either so it’s hard to expect either Dinamo or Lyon to take it seriously & I think it might be worth backing this to be a scoring draw & that’s a bet that offers the most value in my opinion.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: DRAW 1-1/2-2
First Goalscorer each way/Players to score anytime: Gomis/Bastos/Tomecak
Well those are my own independent views for the midweek action in the Champions League & hopefully you find them interesting & informative in some way.
The idea behind the betting recommendations is to cover the main football betting markets hopefully they help guide you towards successful punts on what should prove to be another truly fascinating & dramatic set of Champions League matches.
Remember to check the latest team news before you bet & also to shop around for the best odds & best terms available and good luck with whatever bets you have.

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