The pressure is really on now throughout the entire Premier League as teams chase the title, Champions League places, european places & even fighting to avoid relegation so there is everything to play with these midweek games of massive importance to everybody concerned.
There are 5 massively important Premier League games taking places over tuesday & wednesday night and here are our thoughts on those matches & the value bets we think are worth consideration:
West Ham United vs Wolves – (Tuesday 8.00pm)
Intense relegation battle, high pressure 6 pointer, whichever way we look at this game between West Ham & Wolves there can be escaping how vital it is to everybody involved.
18th place West Ham & 17th place Wolves clash here in a game where the rewards for winning are massive step closer to Premier League safety & cost of failure is anoter step closer to relegation.
It is one of those classic must win but can’t lose matches that become a regular occurrance at this high pressure stage of the season as teams fight for their future with everything at stake.
West Ham United & Wolves are down near the bottom of the league & in danger of relegation because they have not been good enough throughout the season & have lacked quality in all areas but all that can be forgotten & the only thing that matters here is what happens on the night.
Tactically both teams are set up to be positive, attacking sides & both West Ham United & Wolves have to view this as a massive chance to gain 3 vital points so we really do expect both sides to have a real go here.
Gianfranco Zola showed the importance of this match by resting several key players against Arsenal & we fully expect the likes of Mark Noble, Scott Parker, Carlton Cole & Benni McCarthy to return to the West Ham United starting line-up & that will certainly boost their chances.
West Ham United have to win games & achieve points in their home match so we expect West Ham to really go for this with a high tempo start, look for the early goal & then use that advantage to force Wolves out.
Mick McCarthy has a very simple approach with his Wolves side with a commitment of maximum effort & endeavour in every game and see where it gets them at the end of the match.
Now that might sound to simplistic assessment of Wolves but it is accurate as they are a side with no real obvious quality but an abundance of players who have the drive & determination to give their best every game & at this stage of the season that is a massive plus as they showed by getting an excellent draw at Aston Villa.
Wolves are not the type of side to try & defend by keeping it tight so we also expect them to have a got here which should really open this game up & particularly later on in the match.
Both West Ham & Wolves have to look to get a win or at least something positive from this match so it looks certain to be an open game with anything possible but home advantage could well be massive here & we are taking West Ham United to be lifted by their crowd & take 3 absolutely massive points here.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: West Ham United to win
Correct Score options: West Ham United to win 2-1/3-1
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Cole/Noble/McCarthy
Scorecast options: Cole/Noble/McCarthy score 1st & West Ham United 2-1/2-1
Double Result: West Ham H/T & F/T
Aston Villa vs Sunderland – (Wednesday 7.45pm)
Sometimes it pays in football betting to ignore the obvious statistics, discard the form & just follow your gut instinct and for us this is one of those matches.
Aston Villa with only 2 home league defeats all season & unbeaten at home since late december are rated 1/2 shots to win this & take on a Sunderland side rated at 11/2 chances with only 1 away win all season & an average of 2 goals conceded in every away game.
Aston Villa are still in the mix for finishing 4th & taking the Champions League place while Sunderland continue to secure their Premier League status so clearl the 3 points matter the same to both sides.
Those statistics deserve respect & certainly make the odds look acceptable so why is is then do we have a feeling Sunderland can actually win this match & are a worth a bet to do so.
Well the first thing is that Aston Villa were rated 4/9 shots to beat lowly Wolves at home on saturday & could only struggle to a 2-2 draw thanks to a late equaliser and they have failed on a number of occasions at home to deliver when odds on to do so.
The signs were not good for Aston Villa during that game as they struggled badly against a limited Wolves side & overall Aston Villa just looked like a very tired side struggling to handle the pressure of the situation & the number of games they have played recently.
Obviously to win this match Sunderland have to go to Aston Villa & have the quality to score goals, get a lead & hold on to that lead which has obviously been a huge struggle for them but perhaps this could just be the right time to play Aston Villa.
Sunderland come into this match with a very good current form record with only 1 defeat in their last 8 premier league matches & with Darren Bent firing in the goals again, Sunderland have the look of a decent side again & ready to improve their poor away form.
Obviously Aston Villa will look to bounce back here & it will not be easy for Sunderland in this match but in our view Aston Villa look vulnerable & that makes an in form Sunderland side with a potent Darren Bent look a value bet to cause a shock & get the away win
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Sunderland to win
Correct Score options: Sunderland to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Bent/Jones/Malbranque
Scorecast options: Bent/Jones/Malbranque score 1st & Sunderland win 2-1/3-1
Double Result: Sunderland H/T & F/T
Manchester City vs Everton – (Wednesday 7.45pm)
This looks a truly fascinating contest with Champions League chasing Manchester City welcoming a bang in form Everton side & it really should be a competitive, physically intense match.
The betting market for this match has Manchester City as slightly odds-on favourites to win & given they so far have an unbeaten home league record of 9 wins & 4 draws with an average of over 2.5 goals scored per home match those odds do look fair.
On the other hand, Everton’s odds of 10/3 to win might look a little short judged on their poor overall away form but judged on their excellent recent form those odds might look very generous to others.
Of course there is also the draw priced up at 9/4 & that might be a tempting option given how competitive this match is going to be & how talented both squads are.
Both Manchester City & Everton are sides packed full with top class talent as Manchester City can boast Tevez, Wright-Phillips, Bellamy, Barry, Santa Cruz & Everton bring the likes of Arteta, Cahill, Saha, Yakubu & Piennaar so there is nothing to choose between them in terms of talent.
Manchester City & Everton both also come into this match in excellent form with Manchester City have had that stunning 4-2 win at Chelsea & an excellent win away at Fulham while Everton really are hitting their best form & come here totally confident as well so this looks a real coin flip in our minds.
Manchester City deserve to be favourites given the strength of their home form & Everton have to respected given their excellent recent form so that does make a scoring draw very tempting option but we are going to take a chance on Everton edging this & their odds make them a worthy value bet to take the points.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Everton to win
Correct Score options: Everton to win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Cahill/Arteta/Saha
Scorecast options: Cahill/Arteta/Saha score 1st & Everton win 2-0/2-1
Double Result: Everton H/T & F/T
Portsmouth vs Chelsea – (Wednesday 7.45pm)
Without being disrespectful to a Portsmouth side who have shown tremendous heart & spirit in recent weeks, this game only really evolves around Chelsea & their need to bounce straight back to winning form.
The blow of losing to Inter Milan & going out of the Champions League was a tremendously powerful one for the Chelsea squad & management & that was multiplied further by the major disappointment of only drawing against Blackburn on sunday.
Quite simply Chelsea have to win this to stay in the Premier League title race & that should be the most important factor which should ultimately determine the final result in Chelsea’s favour.
Portsmouth are not completely & totally dismissed because they are showing unbelievable spirit & fight at present in all of their games but they are bottom because they deserve to be & because they lack the quality.
Chelsea’s undoubted quality has not been seen in the last couple of performances & while the pressure is intensifying on them to win matches, Chelsea have enough quality & experience within their side to travel to this game, put on a performance and win the game.
The Portsmouth fans & players will be up for this one but so will the Chelsea players because failure to win this will be an almost fatal blow to their title hopes so we expect Chelsea to make their extra quality pay & take the points.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Chelsea to win
Correct Score options: Chelsea to win 2-0/3-0
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Drogba/Lampard/Anelka
Scorecast options: Drogba/Lampard/Anelka score 1st & Chelsea win 2-0/3-0
Double Result: Chelsea H/T & F/T
Blackburn Rovers vs Birmingham City – (Wednesday 8.00pm)
In terms of trophies, european places or relegation fights then neither Blackburn Rovers or Birmingham City have nothing to play for as both are safe & will most probably finish were they are now but that won’t stop this being a full blooded, competitive battle on the night.
Sam Allardyce & Alex McCleish are two intensely proud men who take immense pride in making their sides intensely competitive, determined & a will to give everything in every match no matter what is at stake so we expect much the same here.
Blackburn Rovers come into this match with the terrific boost of gaining a hard earned but deserved point against Chelsea & their excellent home form gives them every reason to be confident.
Blackburn Rovers have an excellent home record this season with only 2 defeats from 15 home league matches with an average of less than 1 goal conceded per match.
Sam Allardyce is committed to finishing the season strong & certainly wants to maintain their excellent home form so we are expecting another strong, determined performance from Blackburn in this match & they should prove to be extremely hard to beat.
Alex McCleish & his Birmingham City players have already achieved their seasons target with Premier League status secured a long time ago but McCleish is not the type of man to rest on that & he will want to push Birmingham City on right to the end of the season.
Birmingham City are 9th in the table now & will almost certainly finish their but the remaining games are still important to Birmingham City because they are a club who pride themselves on giving 100% in every single match & that is what we expect them to do here in this one.
Birmingham City have built their season on being well organised, committed & an incredible team spirit which has made them incredibly competitive in almost all of their matches & hard to beat so they will certainly give Blackburn a test although their recent away form is a concern.
Portsmouth did win away at Portsmouth recently but they have lost their other 4 away matches in recent times & that has to be a concern going up against a Blackburn Rovers side with such a strong home record & a draw looks likely to be the best Birmingham City can achieve here.
Now this game is unlikely to be about world class, flowing football & much more likely to be about physical commitment, solid team play & effort so a draw is a tempting option but Blackburn Rovers home record is impressive & so at a shade of odds against Blackburn Rovers do look a great bet to get another home win.
Betting Recommendations:
Outright Match Result: Blackburn Rovers win
Correct Score options: Blackburn Rovers win 2-0/2-1
First Goalscorer each way/Player to score anytime: Pedersen/Kalinic/Diouf
Scorecast options: Pedersen/Kalinic/Diouf score 1st & Blackburn Rovers win 2-0/2-1
Double Result: Blackburn Rovers H/T & F/T